Majyd Aziz
Preamble:
Bilateral trade,
especially among neighbors or within a region, has been highlighted as an ideal
way to do business, plan investments, and develop a peaceful environment.
Today, this narrative becomes more profound when taken in the context of
bilateral relations between India and Pakistan. Although bilateral trade has
demonstrated a noticeable increase in 2013, with Pakistan’s exports to India
crossing the $500 million threshold due to a 28% increase, while India’s
exports to Pakistan improved by 19% to cross the $2100 million figure, the
underlining viewpoint is that the potential is immense and, simultaneously,
mutually beneficial.
A major component of
trade and investment bilateral regime is the availability of a streamlined, responsible,
and defined financial facilitation system that enables enhancement and
improvement in trade. However, in the framework of India and Pakistan, there is
still a regimented and full of hurdles mode in vogue rather than any taking or initiating
steps for removal of roadblocks and bureaucratic twists and turns.
Position:
Since there are no bank
branches in each other’s country, the correspondent banks impose their own rules
and procedures that hamper instead of facilitate financial transactions. In the
Indo-Pak case, the Pakistani banks open Letter of Credit through foreign banks
and vice versa. It is important that the Reserve Bank of India and the State
Bank of Pakistan approve and allow banks to establish their branches across the
border in more than one or two locations to enable maximum utilization of their
services.
There is also no NOSTRO
arrangement between Indian and Pakistani banks. There is no Test Arrangement used
within the banking channels for Indo-Pak trade. Moreover, additional expenses
are incurred due to procedural delays and payments made through Asian Clearing
Union. There is an imperative need to establish a Currency Swap Agreement among
SAARC countries with India becoming the prime facilitator by establishing a US$
two billion outlay. There is also a crucial need for Alternate Dispute
Resolution mechanism involving, initially, the SAARC Chamber of Commerce and
Industry as the focal point. With the popularity and benefits of Islamic
Banking in many countries, it is also felt that Islamic Banking may become a
prime source of financial facilitation in the future, especially as a financial
intermediary between Pakistan and India, taking into consideration the huge
Muslim population of India.
It has been observed
that in case of any negative event triggering tension between the two
countries, banks often change the 90-days Letter of Credit to Sight Letter of
Credit that often results in cancellation of the business deal. Moreover, because of the problems related to acceptance
and confirmation of L/Cs, at times trade transactions are carried out through a
contract offered by the bank, that states the details of the trader and of the
transaction but does not ensure payment guarantees and thus serve as a
restriction to trade. It seems that there exists a mistrust or disconnect between
the banks of both Pakistan and India.
Importers of
refined petroleum distillates report that Indian
banks do not
honor L/Cs opened
by Pakistani banks
issuing beyond an
arbitrary limit of about
US$ 10,000 due to
this trust deficit. The
fear is based
on assumed noncompliance of
terms of credit or delayed payment by
the issuing bank.
As a result,
shipments are released
in parts replicating
overheads, transport costs
and processing. Some other
finance related issues include cumbersome payment system, restrictive official
foreign exchange allocation, regulations concerning terms of trade for import
payments, non-acceptance of letter of credit, higher commission of foreign
banks offering letter of credit and lack of bank branches.
India
is considering the establishment of a South Asian Development Bank that would
fund infrastructure projects and also promote trade in the SAARC region. The
decision is seen as playing a critical role in facilitating trade within the
eight-member Association. As most of the non-tariff barriers are an
infrastructure deficiency, that need funds to be fixed, trade facilitation is essentially
a question of finding money. That is what the proposed South Asia Development
Bank is expected to facilitate.
Case:
Another very
disconcerting issue relates to the service sector. A case in point is that
Pakistani artistes who are invited to perform in India are not allowed to open
a Bank Account due to Reserve Bank of India’s policy of proof of possession of property
and address in India. Since Pakistani artistes usually live in hotels or enjoy
home hospitality, and since they are not allowed to buy property, they cannot
open the accounts. Interestingly, one Pakistani artiste applied for an Indian
PAN Card and mentioned his Pakistan address and the card was surprisingly
delivered to his Pakistani address. Yet, when he went to open an account, he
was denied the facility. Moreover, RBI stipulates that payments must be made
through banking channels and thus the artiste is in a Catch-22 situation. It is
reported that Pakistani artistes have to pay 25-30% of their Indian income to
their agents or third parties for obtaining payments by countering the RBI
rules and regulations.
Reflections:
It is important that
businessmen should understand the complexities of politics of each other’s
country. Traditional hostilities between India and Pakistan will continue to
hamper trade liberalization. They should comprehend very explicitly that
Non-Tariff Trade Barriers would not vanish due to feel good factors. As tariff
goes down, NTBs will increase. Every week new NTBs are invented. In fact,
non-facilitation of finance is not an ordinary NTB. It is a CNTB (Cumulative
Non-Tariff Barrier). Fault also lies with the business community of both India
and Pakistan as they do not have the critical mass to compel the governments to
change or remove the NTBs and other irritants that impede trade. However, the
advantage of proximity for strategic sourcing is one prime reason why it is
imperative that there should be liberalization of trade among SAARC countries,
and especially between India and Pakistan. Businessmen must not lose hope. They
should persevere with 4Cs: Continuity, Consistency, Commitment, Courage. The optimism
is that the Modi and Sharif governments would, in reality and practice, take
long steps forward to achieve trade and investment liberalization. As James
Broughton stated, “the only limits are, as always, those of vision.”
No comments:
Post a Comment