Monday, October 6, 2014

Indo-Pak Trade Coalition



Majyd Aziz / Tridivesh Singh Maini

Commercial Associations, Trade Guilds, and Business and Industry Chambers are formed to promote, project and protect the interests of membership. The worth, acceptance and effectiveness of such organizations are directly related to the critical mass they have in achieving the desired objectives and doing justice to their mandate. It is, therefore, fit and proper to analyze and evaluate the performance of those trade organizations that are directly involved in the cause of bilateral liberalization of trade and investment of India and Pakistan. 

Chambers of Commerce are important not just because they understand the benefits of closer economic linkages, but also for the fact that the relationships established between them are strong, and while during times of political tensions they may not be totally immune, yet they can find ways and means of keeping the dialogue intact.

India and Pakistan may have not achieved desirable progress on a number of fronts, yet one area where there has been significant movement in the past decade has been the sphere of trade and commerce. In addition to the vision of the political leadership, Chambers and Associations too have played a vital role not just in urging their respective governments to ease out trade restrictions but also to liberalize the existing visa regime thus enabling the increasing interactions between the business communities on both sides. 

While taking the above facts into consideration, while acknowledging the fact that trade and industry of both India and Pakistan are keen to liberalize trade and remove red tape and bottlenecks, and while accepting the fact that there are serious security and survival concerns among many stakeholders and policymakers, it is now an established position that the process of liberalization of trade and ushering in a regional economic integration would maintain a forward feature despite myriad efforts to insert a monkey wrench in the process.

Therefore, it is appropriate to check out the role of trade and industry representatives in bilateral trade and investment. There is a SAARC Chamber of Commerce and Industry headquartered in Islamabad with a functioning secretariat. The President’s office rotates among the SAARC members and it organizes various events to promote the issues of business and industries of the eight SAARC members, more so with reference to SAPTA and SAFTA. A special focus is accorded to Indo-Pak trade and investment as it is rightly agreed that addressing these issues and bringing about mutual understanding would be the game changer in arriving at the objectives of regional economic integration. SAARC-CCI has an advantage in the sense that a combined focus is given to an issue as it allows working space to deal with national concerns of each neighboring country. The India Pakistan Chamber of Commerce and Industry is another joint initiative of businessmen. The members do meet to formulate joint strategies and push for various reforms. However, it lacks persuasive influence because the leadership usually consists of those businessmen who are already well-entrenched in FICCI, FPCCI, SAARC-CCI etc. Thus there is mostly an overlapping of efforts. In fact, IP-CCI is not able to generate the desired results. Another organization is the Pakistan Business Council that has a limited number of members who are among the major corporations, groups or conglomerates. PBC generally liaises with the Pak-India Joint Business Forum. PIJBF is composed of the representatives of the top corporations of both countries and has an edge over others in conveying the common concerns to New Delhi and Islamabad.

The Indian mega national trade organizations, like FICCI and CII, have endeavored in intensive lobbying and awareness-raising. It is pertinent to mention that a number of regional Chambers like the PHD Chamber of Commerce (Punjab), South Gujarat Chamber of Commerce and Gandhidham Chamber of Commerce have been vociferously urging their respective state governments, as well as New Delhi, to take practical steps for giving a fillip to bilateral trade. 

The South Gujarat Chamber of Commerce has taken the lead in establishing links with designated Chambers of Commerce in Pakistan. For this purpose, an MOU was signed with Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry in November 2013. The Gandhidham Chamber of Commerce too has urged the state and central governments to open land crossings between Gujarat (Kutch region) and Sindh with the aim of rekindling trade ties between the two regions. So far no tangible progress has been made in this direction.

The Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry has been in the forefront in promoting bilateral trade and investment, in granting MFN (or NDMA) to India, in opening of the Munabao-Khokhrapar route for trade and people movement, in assisting and organizing exhibitions and visits by various Indian organizations such as FIEO, FISME, etc and, more importantly, in establishing mutually beneficial linkages. The proposed Mumbai-Karachi Joint Chamber of Commerce and Industry, a valuable initiative of Mumbai Chamber of Commerce and Industry and KCCI, would be a trailblazer once it receives formal approval from both the governments. KCCI is a prime stakeholder in Indo-Pak trade and therefore it commands the weight to strenuously lobby for a broad canvas of liberalization of trade and immediate removal of all roadblocks, especially the Non-Tariff Trade Barriers, that have haunted businessmen from enhancing official trade movement.

At this present moment, the three global areas of concern for Pakistani businessmen and industrialists are GSP Plus by European Union, substantial market access by USA government, and bilateral trade with India. It does not in any matter rule out other serious and imperative issues such as infrastructure shortages, political instability, negative image, impact of terrorism and extremism, to name a few. What this narrative focuses on is that the three broad global areas do and would make a formidable influence on the country’s economic fundamentals. Pakistan’s exports are a pitiful $25 billion and despite all projections and political visions, attaining the $30 billion threshold may not be realized till 2016.

In India, exports are in the zone of $325-330 billion and the Modi government has gone full force in drumming up huge exports, attracting massive foreign direct investment, and getting rid of bureaucratic slowpokes. A concerted strategy has been chalked out to mushroom the shipments of the Made in India brand worldwide. The plethora of Free Trade Agreements, Preferential Trade Agreements, Economic and Political Blocs, plus Observer Status at many a world forum, are some of the fast-track initiatives undertaken by Delhi. Trade and investment sector has been very cleverly isolated from various contentious issues. This approach is really a pragmatic option and manifests favorable adherence to economic diplomacy.

Pakistan has a trade deficit with India but this should not be an impediment nor should be perceived with skepticism by policymakers. There is an imperative need to develop mutual comparative advantages through more regional integration. Trade facilitation, supply-side capacity, and the removal of prejudiced use of NTBs are critical to enhance Pakistan’s export opportunities to India. Of course, a reality-check is essential, especially to determine through in-depth investigations into informal trading that is more damaging than granting NDMA or in removing the cobwebs that hamper formal trade or, more significantly, a paradigm shift in common bias, distrust, and jingoism. This is where the mantle of power of the trade organizations comes into action. Otherwise, summits, conferences, research studies, and camaraderie would turn out to be Quixotic adventures for a long, long time.

(Majyd Aziz is Former President of Karachi Chamber of Commerce and Industry / Tridivesh Singh Maini is Senior Research Associate at Jindal School of International Affairs, Sonepat, India)

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